====== 1.vii.1 The Nature of Probability in Quantum Physics ====== Many physicists are inclined to say that there must be a fundamental indeterminism in physics. After all, if we cannot observe an electron's trajectory when it is involved in forming an interference pattern without ruining the interference patter then doesn't that mean that the electron does not //have// a trajectory in that case? Notice, however that there is a particular philosophy behind this kind of statement --- //verificationism//. Verificationism is the doctrine that, other than the tautologies of logic, the only meaningful truths are those that can be verified empirically (i.e. by an experiment). Given that quantum physics does not give us a clear-cut picture of reality, a retreat into verificationism is a popular position among physicists. If we only focus on those statements that can be directly verified in an experiment, and dismiss anything else as meaningless, then we probably will not get confused about how to //use// quantum mechanics to make predictions. Nevertheless, verificationism is not a particularly popular position in the philosophy of science. I do not wish to get too far into philosophical questions here. Suffice to say, there are interpretations of quantum mechanics in which electrons //do// have well defined trajectories at all times and others in which they do not. The interpretations where there are always definite trajectories are not very popular among physicists, partly because they violate the principle of locality, but the option is still open at this stage and I will not take a strong stance for or against the idea. However, one thing is for sure: if we cannot observe precise trajectories and interference in the same experiment, then we will generally be uncertain about where an electron will be detected in an interference experiment. We are at best going to be able to predict a probability for where it will land. This could be because the particle does not have a definite trajectory and so the location that it will be detected is not determined until it is measured, or because we simply do not know the trajectory of the particle. Either way, we will only be able to predict a probability. ====== 1.vii.2 The Born Rule ====== In general, quantum mechanics only predicts the probability for where a particle will be detected. The rule for predicting these probabilities was proposed by Max Born in 1927, and is now known as the //**Born rule**//. For the special case of a particle in one-dimension, the Born rule works as follows. Suppose $\psi(x,t)$ is the wavefunction of a one-dimensional system. We first ensure that it is normalized such that \[\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty} |\psi(x,t)|^2\,\mathrm{d}x = 1.\] Then, at time $t$, the probability for finding the particle at a position $x$ such that $a